Obuka građana za reagovanje u vanrednim situacijama

Cvetković, V., Jakovljević, V., Gačić, J., & Filipović, M. (2017). Obuka građana za reagovanje u vanrednim situacijama [Citizen Training for Responding in Emergencies]. Ecologica, 24(88), 856–882. ОBUKA GRAĐANA ZA REAGOVANJE U VANREDNIM SITUACIJAMA Vladimir M. Cvetković, Vladimir Jakovljević, Jasmina Gačić, Marina Filipović Univerzitet u Beogradu, Fakultet bezbednosti, Gospodara Vučića, 50   Sažetak: Od nastanka prvobitnih ljudskih zajednica postojali su organizovani pokušaji da se ublaže odnosno smanje posledice vanrednih situacija. Pri tome, obučavanje ljudi u cilju adekvatnog reagovanja ili preživljavanja takvih događaja oduvek je imalo prioritet u društvenoj zajednici. Polazeći od značaja takvih preventivnih aktivnosti, realizovano je istraživanje stanja obučenosti i zainteresovanosti građana za pohađanjem određenih obuka primenom kvantitativne istraživačke tradicije. Interpretacija dobijenih rezultata pokazuje da je poražavajućih 5,6% građana istaklo da je obučeno za reagovanje, dok je sa druge strane jedna trećina, tačnije 34,8% građana zainteresovano za samu obuku. Pri tome, utvrđeno je da na pohađanja obuke statistički značajno utiče pol, godine starosti, obrazovanje, obrazovanje oca i majke, roditeljstvo, prethodno iskustvo, percepcija rizika i zaposlenost ispitanika, dok ne utiče bračni status ispitanika. Naime, veći procenat pohađanja obuke zabeležili su muškarci, zaposleni ispitanici, ispitanici sa prethodnim iskustvom i višim prihodima itd. Na originalnost istraživanja upućuje neispitanost stanja i nivoa obučenosti građana Srbije za reagovanje u vanrednim situacijama. Naučni i društveni doprinos istraživanja sastoji se u kreiranju naučnih i praktičnih pretpostavki za uspostavljanje sveobuhvatnog i efikasnog programa obučavanja građana Srbije za reagovanje u vanrednim situacijama.   Ključne reči: bezbednost, vanredne situacije, građani, obuka, reagovanje, Srbija.   UVOD Teškoće u funkcionisanju društva za vreme vanrednih situacija uslovljavaju preduzimanje strukturalnih i nestrukturalnih mera kako bi se ublažile posledice takvih događaja. U jednu od značajnijih nestrukturalnih mera ublažavanja posledica vanrednih situacija svakako spada edukacija [1-5] i sprovođenje permanentnih obuka stanovništva [1]. Dakle, ljudima ne preostaje samo da čekaju i da se bore sa posledicama katastrofa, […]

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Industrial Disasters and Hazards: From Causes to Consequences—A Holistic Approach to Resilience

Cvetković, V. M., Renner, R., & Jakovljević, V. (2024). Industrial Disasters and Hazards: From Causes to Consequences—A Holistic Approach to Resilience. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 6(2), 149–168. Review Article Industrial Disasters and Hazards: From Causes to Consequences—A Holistic Approach to Resilience Vladimir M. Cvetković1,2,3,4*, Renate Renner2,4, Vladimir Jakovljević1,2 1 Department of Disaster Management and Environmental Security, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, Gospodara Vučića 50, 11040 Belgrade, Serbia; vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs; vladimir.cvetkovic@unileoben. ac.at (V.M.C.); vjakov@fb.bg.ac.rs (V.J.). 2 Scientific-Professional Society for Disaster Risk Management, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040 Belgrade, Serbia. 3 International Institute for Disaster Research, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040 Belgrade, Serbia. 4 Safety and Disaster Studies, Chair of Thermal Processing Technology, Department of Environmental and Energy Process Engineering, Montanuniversitaet, Leoben, Austria; renate.renner@unileoben.ac.at. * Correspondence: vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs Received: 18 August 2024; Revised: 5 November 2024; Accepted 15 October; Published: 25 December   Abstract   Starting from accelerated industrial development, industrial disasters (chemical spills, explo- sions, nuclear accidents, etc.), which fall under man-made (technological) disasters, increasingly threaten human lives, the environment, and property. Their complexity and far-reaching conse- quences, both at the local and global levels, require effective management of industrial risks and the disasters themselves (preparedness, mitigation, response, and recovery). For these reasons, the review paper aims to provide a holistic description of the diverse causes, dynamics, and multidi- mensional consequences of disasters. Additionally, it highlights and explains the key factors that directly or indirectly contribute to their occurrence. Furthermore, it could be said that the paper ana- lyzes existing strategies for managing risks from industrial disasters and systematizes recommen- dations for improving preventive and reactive measures in high-risk industries. On the other side, the paper utilizes a comprehensive literature review, which involves the systematic identification, review, analysis, and critical evaluation of existing scientific papers, studies, reports, and regulatory documents on industrial disasters. Besides that, it also includes a detailed analysis of well-known industrial […]

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Uticaj statusa regulisane vojne obaveze na spremnost građana za reagovanje na prirodnu katastrofu izazvanu poplavom

Cvetković, V., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2015). Uticaj statusa regulisane vojne obaveze na spremnost građana za reagovanje na prirodnu katastrofu izazvanu poplavom [The impact of regulated military obligation status on citizens’ preparedness for flood response]. Ecologica, 22(80), 584–590. Uticaj statusa regulisane vojne obaveze na spremnost građana za reagovanje na prirodnu katastrofu izazvanu poplavom u Republici Srbiji Vladimir M. Cvetković1, Jasmina Gačić2, Vladimir Jakovljević2 COBISS.SR – ID 80263175 UVOD Spremnost kao koncept u teoriji katastrofa pod- razumeva aktivnosti preduzete pre prirodne kata- strofe u cilju poboljšanja odgovora i oporavka od nastalih posledica [1]. Pri tome, spremnost podra- zumeva znanja i sposobnosti u vezi reagovanja (poznavanje lokalnih poplavnih rizika, sistema upo- zorenja, i načina reagovanja), kao i posedovanje zaliha i planova [2-4]. Značajnije i ozbiljnije poplave koje su pogodile geoprostor Srbije, u toku 1999., 2000., 2005., 20006., 2007., 2009., i 2014. godine ukazale se na nedovoljnu spremnost građana za reagovanje [5]. Upravo stoga, sprovedeno je istra- živanje kojim se ispitao uticaj statusa regulisane vojne obaveze na spremnost građana za reago- vanje. Takođe, izračunat je i indeks spremnosti građana tako što je svaka stavka mere spremnosti za reagovanje koja je preduzeta, bez obzira da li se radi o percepciji, znanju ili zalihama označena jedinicom (1). Sa druge strane, kada takva mera nije preduzeta, označena je sa nulom (0). Nadalje, za sve ispitanike u vezi pojedinačnih stavki mera spremnosti izvršeno je sabiranje i dobijeni broj je podeljen sa ukupnim brojem datih odgovora (uzeta je u obzir srednja vrednost). Shodno tome, indeks pojedinačne stavke mere spremnosti mogao je dostići vrednost od 0 do 1. Najviša ukupna vred- nost skora percepcije spremnosti mogla je iznositi 5, znanja 13 i posedovanja zaliha 15. Dakle, indeks spremnosti građana za reagovanje na prirodnu ka- tastrofu izazvanu poplavom u Republici Srbiji mogao je dostići maksimalnu vrednost skora koji iznosi 33 […]

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Uticaj klimatskih promena na zaštitu i očuvanje biodiverziteta kao preduslova ekološke bezbednosti u Srbiji

Filipović, M., Cvetković, V., & Jakovljević, V. (2017). Uticaj klimatskih promena na zaštitu i očuvanje biodiverziteta kao preduslova ekološke bezbednosti u Srbiji [The impact of climate change on protection and conservation of biodiversity as a precondition of environmental security in Serbia]. First International Conference Environmental Safety and Health at Work, Proceedings, Zrenjanin, 16. November, 2017. UTICAJ KLIMATSKIH PROMENA NA ZAŠTITU I OČUVANJE BIODIVERZITETA KAO PREDUSLOVA EKOLOŠKE BEZBEDNOSTI U SRBIJI THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PROTECTION AND CONSERVATION OF BIODIVERSITY AS A PRECONDITION OF ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY IN SERBIA Mr Marina Filipović, Doc. dr Vladimir M. Cvetković, Prof. dr Vladimir Jakovljević, Fakultet bezbednosti, Univerzitet u Beogradu Apstrakt: Uticaj klimatskih promena na biološku raznovrsnost, kao osnovnog preduslova ekološke bezbednosti, predmet je sve većeg broja naučnih i stručnih analiza širom sveta. Usled nedostatka informacija o pratećim uticajima promena klime i neposrednih empirijskih dokaza, može doći do zanemarivanja primene adekvatnih mera za ublažavanje potencijalno štetnog uticaja klime na održavanje, rast, razmnožavanje i rasprostranjenost pojedinih vrsta što može uticati na stvaranje neželjenih implikacija po ekološku bezbednost. Imajući u vidu značajan broj endemičnih biljnih i životinjskih vrsta na području Republike Srbije, ne može se osporiti njena osobena odgovornost u pogledu očuvanja biodiverziteta. U radu je izvršena sekundarna analiza ključnih dokumenta i izveštaja koje Srbija, kao država članica Okvirne konvencije Ujedinjenih Nacija o promeni klime (UNFCCC) i Kjoto protokola, i zemlja potpisnica Sporazuma iz Pariza (od 2017. godine), ima obavezu da kontinualno podnosi Sekretarijatu UNFCCC-a. Prema Prvoj nacionalnoj komunikaciji Republike Srbije uočeni su efekti klimatskih promena na biodiverzitet i prirodne ekosisteme koji ukazuju da može doći do: fenoloških, morfoloških i fizioloških promena, promena u ponašanju vrsta, gubitka staništa, pojave novih staništa, kao i promena u broju, distribuciji vrsta što može pogoršati stanje ekološke bezbednosti. Sekundarna analiza izveštaja o merama mitigacije i adaptacije na klimatske promene izvršena je sa […]

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Qualitative insights into cultural heritage protection in Serbia: Addressing legal and institutional gaps for disaster risk resilience

Cvetković, V. M., Gole, S., Renner, R., Jakovljević, V., & Lukić, T. (2024). Qualitative insights into cultural heritage protection in Serbia: Addressing legal and institutional gaps for disaster risk resilience. Open Geosciences, 16(1), 20220755. Research Article Vladimir M. Cvetković*, Stefan Gole, Renate Renner, Vladimir Jakovljević, and Tin Lukić Qualitative insights into cultural heritage protection in Serbia: Addressing legal and institutional gaps for disaster risk resilience https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2022-0755 received November 18, 2024; accepted December 07, 2024 Abstract: This research is dedicated to a comprehensive exploration of the strengths and weaknesses inherent in the legal and institutional measures established to safe- guard cultural heritage in the Republic of Serbia against the adverse effects of disasters, including earthquakes, landslides, rockfalls, floods, torrents, storms, hail, and forest fires. The study seeks to identify key challenges and shortcomings within the existing legal and institu- tional framework while also highlighting and analyzing best practices and potential avenues for improvement in the protection system. The research posits a preliminary hypothesis suggesting that significant challenges exist  * Corresponding author: Vladimir M. Cvetković, Department of Disaster Management and Environmental Security, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, Gospodara Vucica 50, 11040, Belgrade, Serbia; Scientific-Professional Society for Disaster Risk Management, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040, Belgrade, Serbia; International Institute for Disaster Research, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040, Belgrade, Serbia; Safety and Disaster Studies, Chair of Thermal Processing Technology, Department of Environmental and Energy Process Engineering, Montanuniversitaet, Leoben, Austria, e-mail: vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs; vladimir.cvetkovic@unileoben.ac.at Stefan Gole: Scientific-Professional Society for Disaster Risk Management, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040, Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: golestefan@gmail.com Renate Renner: Scientific-Professional Society for Disaster Risk Management, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040, Belgrade, Serbia; Safety and Disaster Studies, Chair of Thermal Processing Technology, Department of Environmental and Energy Process Engineering, Montanuniversitaet, Leoben, Austria, e-mail: renate.renner@unileoben.ac.at Vladimir Jakovljević: Department of Disaster Management and Environmental Security, Faculty of Security Studies, University […]

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Osiguranje i smanjenje rizika od prirodnih katastrofa

Cvetković, V., Jakovljević, V., & Stanić, M. (2016). Osiguranje i smanjenje rizika od prirodnih katastrofa [Insurance and risk reduction of natural disasters]. VII naučno-stručni skup sa međunarodnim učešćem „Evropske integracije: pravda, sloboda i bezbednost“. Tara: Kriminalističko-policijska akademija. ‌ОСИГУРАЊЕ И СМАЊЕЊЕ РИЗИКА ОД ПРИРОДНИХ КАТАСТРОФА Др Владимир М. Цветковић Криминалистичко-полицијска академија, Београд vladimirkpa@gmail.com Проф. др Владимир Јаковљевић Факултет безбедности Универзитетa у Београду vjakov@fb.bg.ac.rs Миодраг Станић Центар за унапређење осигурања, Београд Сажетак: Број природних катастрофа је у порасту и њихове по- следице су све разорније. У појединим земљама постоји обавезно осигурање од последица природних катастрофа изазваних поплавом, док је у Србији то још у зачетку. Управо стога, у раду су изнети ре- зултати квантитативног истраживања повезаности демографских и социо-економских карактеристика грађана и осигурања имовине од последица природних катастрофа изазваних поплавом у Републици Србији. Истраживање је спроведено у току 2015. године и том при- ликом методом случајног узорка одабрано је 19 локалних заједница у којима је анкетирано 2.500 грађана. При томе, примењена је стра- тегија испитивања у домаћинствима уз примену вишеетапног случај- ног узорка. Резултати дескриптивне статистичке анализе указују да је само 8% испитаника осигурало своју имовину од последица природ- них катастрофа изазваних поплавом док 86,6% то није учинило. Хи квадрат тестом (x2) независности утврђена је статистички значајна повезаност осигурања са демографским карактеристикама испита- ника – пол, године старости, ниво образовања, успех у средњој шко- ли и одређеним социо-економским карактеристикама – запосленост, брачни статус и удаљеност домаћинства од реке. Са друге стране, није утврђена статистички значајна повезаност осигурања са висином прихода домаћинства. Оригиналност истраживања огледа се у унапређењу теоријског фонда знања из области смањења ризика од природних катастро- фа. Резултати истраживања имају недвосмислен научни и друштве- ни значај који се огледа у пружању обиља новостворених података који се могу искористити у циљу компарације са резултатима других истраживања у свету и конципирању стратегије подстицања грађа- на да […]

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Knowledge and Perception of Secondary School Students in Belgrade about Earthquakes as Natural Disasters

Cvetković, V., Dragićević, S., Petrović, M., Mijaković, S., Jakovljević, V., & Gačić, J. (2015). Knowledge and Perception of Secondary School Students in Belgrade about Earthquakes as Natural Disasters. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 24(4), 1553–1561. Knowledge and Perception of Secondary School Students in Belgrade about Earthquakes as Natural Disasters Vladimir M. Cvetković1*, Slavoljub Dragićević2, Marina Petrović3, Saša Mijalković1, Vladimir Jakovljević4, Jasmina Gačić4 1The Academy of Criminalistics and Police Studies, Cara Dušana 196, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia 2Faculty of Geography, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/III, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia 3Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, Kamenička 6, 1100 Belgrade, Serbia 4Faculty of Security, University of Belgrade, Gospodara Vučića 50, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia Received: 5 February 2015 Accepted: 15 March 2015 Abstract The aim of this quantitative research is to determine the perception and actual knowledge of secondary school students in the Belgrade region with respect to earthquakes as a natural disaster and security threat, and to identify the factors that influence their knowledge and perceptions. The authors used a method of survey- ing students to identify and describe the factors that influence student knowledge and perceptions about earth- quakes. For the purpose of this research, a sample of 3,063 students was drawn from the total population of secondary school students in Belgrade (65,561 students), which equates to 4.67% of the population. The results show that the sources of information on natural disasters and their threatening consequences influ- ence the perceptions of secondary school students. In view of the evident lack of education about natural dis- asters in Serbia, the results of this study can be used when creating a strategy for educational programs. This research is the first step in developing and realizing a future strategy for natural disaster management by informing and including public (school population), scientific, and administrative communities in the process. […]

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Integrating Psychosocial Support into Emergency and Disaster Management and Public Safety: The Role of the Red Cross of Serbia

Janković, Lj., Cvetković, V., Gačić, J., Renner, R., Jakovljević, V. (2025) Integrating Psychosocial Support into Emergency and Disaster Management and Public Safety: The Role of the Red Cross of Serbia. (2025). International Journal of Contemporary Security Studies, 1(1), 99-124. Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade International Journal of Contemporary Security Studies (IJCSS) Volume 1 • Issue 1 • 2025 https://doi.org/10.18485/fb_ijcss.2025.1.1.8 Article Integrating Psychosocial Support into Emergency and Disaster Management and Public Safety: The Role of the Red Cross of Serbia Ljubica Janković1, Vladimir M. Cvetković 1,2,3,4*, Jasmina Gačić1,4, Renate Renner3, Vladimir Jakovljević1,2 Scientific-Professional Society for Disaster Risk Management, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040 Belgrade, Serbia. Department of Disaster Management and Environmental Security, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, Gospodara Vucica 50, 11040 Belgrade, Serbia; vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs; vladimir.cvetkovic@unileoben.ac.at (V.M.C); jasmina.gacic@fb.bg.ac.rs (J.G), vjakovljevic111@gmail.com (V.J.). Safety and Disaster Studies, Chair of Thermal Processing Technology, Department of Environmental and Energy Process Engineering, Technical University of Leoben, Austria; renate.renner@unileoben.ac.at. International Institute for Disaster Research, Dimitrija Tucovića 121, 11040 Belgrade, Serbia. Received: 1 January 2025; Revised: 25 March 2025; Accepted: 10 May 2025; Published: 30 June 2025   abstract   * Correspondence: vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs   keywords   As emergencies and disasters continue to strain public health systems globally, integrating psychosocial support into national response frameworks has emerged as a critical, though often overlooked, priority. This study examines the role of the Red Cross of Serbia in delivering Psychosocial First Aid (PFA), highlighting it as a vital yet underrepresented component within the broader scope of emergency response. Grounded in a theoretical framework, the paper outlines the core principles of PFA, its significance during crises, and the psychosocial impact of disasters on individuals and communities. It further explores the relationship between mental health and community resilience, underscoring the importance of mental recovery in disaster contexts. Utilising a qualitative approach, the study draws on an expert interview […]

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Impact of climate change on the distribution of extreme temperatures as natural disasters

Cvetković, V., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2015). Impact of climate change on the distribution of extreme temperatures as natural disasters. Vojno delo, 6, 21–42. DOI: 10.5937/vojdelo1506021C   IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF EXTREME TEMPERATURES AS NATURAL DISASTERS1 Vladimir M. Cvetković The Academy of Criminalistic and Police studies, Belgrade   Jasmina Gačić and Vladimir Jakovljević University of Belgrade, Faculty of Security Studies Much of the scientific community agrees that global temperature as a result of climate change has increased significantly in the last century, and will continue to grow in the near future. According to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC, 2001 (IPCC – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), the global average temperature has increased by about 0.6 degrees in the 20th century, although climate warming was not uniform neither spatially nor temporally, as was indicated by observed changes and modelling studies. Variations in global or regional cases of extreme air temperatures that occurred due to changes in climate cause more and more attention lately as living beings and ecosystems and human society are sensitive to the severity, frequency and persistence of cases of extreme temperatures. In this regard, in order to effectively protect and respond to emergencies caused by harmful temperature extremes, it is necessary among other things to comprehensively investigate the mentioned natural phenomenon, so the subject of this paper will be an analysis of climate change as well as form, consequences, temporal and geospatial distribution of extreme temperatures. Using an international database on natural disasters of the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), based in Brussels, with the support of program for statistical analysis (SPSS) and the method of thematic cartography, we have tried to point out the number, trends, consequences, temporal and geospatial distribution of extreme temperature in the period from 1900 to […]

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Household supplies for a natural disaster: Factor of influence on the possession of supplies

Cvetković, V., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2017). Household supplies for a natural disaster: Factor of influence on the possession of supplies. 8th International Scientific Conference: Security Concepts and Policies – New Generation of Risks and Threats, Ohrid, Republic of Macedonia, 4–5 June. HOUSEHOLD SUPPLIES FOR NATURAL DISASTERS: FACTORS OF INFLUENCE ON THE POSSESSION OF SUPPLIES Vladimir M. Cvetković, Dr.Sc Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia vladimirkpa@gmail.com Jasmina Gačić, Dr.Sc jgacic@sezampro.rs Vladimir Jakovljević, Dr.Sc vjakov@fb.bg.ac.rs Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, Republic of Serbia Purpose – The paper presents the results of the quantitative research of the impact of certain factors on household possession of supplies necessary for the survival of the consequences of natural disasters. Design/methodology/approach – Quantitative research was conducted by using a survey strategy in households with the use of a multi-stage random sample. The first step, which was related to the primary sampling units, included selection of parts of the community for conducting research. The second step, which was related to research cores, included selection of streets or parts of streets at the level of primary sampling units, and finally a selection of households for surveying 2500 citizens in 19 local communities. Findings – It was found that only 24.6% of the respondents have supplies, while 61.5% have no supplies for surviving natural disasters. On the other hand, 37.2% of the respondents possess supplies of food for 4 days, while only 12% have supplies of food for 1 day. It was found that 17.6% of the respondents have a transistor radio, 40% a flashlight, 40.6% a shovel, 25.8% a hack, 33.6% hoe and spade, and 13.2% a fire extinguisher. The results of the inferential statistical analyses show that there is a statistically significant influence of gender, education, marital status, parenthood, employment, income level, level of […]

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Household earthquake preparedness in Serbia: A study of selected municipalities

Cvetković, V. M., Ronan, K., Shaw, R., Filipović, M., Mano, R., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2019). Household earthquake preparedness in Serbia: A study of selected municipalities. Acta Geographica, 59(2), 28–42. DOI: https: /doi.org/10.3986/AGS.5445 UDC: 614.8:550.34(497.11) COBISS: 1.01 Household earthquake preparedness in Serbia: A study of selected municipalities ABSTRACT: This article presents the results of a qualitative study of household earthquake and community- level preparedness in Serbia and its relationship to various demographic factors. A series of 1,018 face-to-face interviews were conducted at the beginning of 2017 in eight Serbian municipalities. The results show that the population is generally unprepared, with low percentages of reported enhanced preparedness levels. In addition to presenting its findings, the study also considers future research directions, including using this study as a basis for more detailed research and to assist in facilitating community-led programs and strategies to increase earthquake safety. KEY WORDS: geography, natural hazards, earthquake, preparedness, household, survey, Serbia Pripravljenost gospodinjstev na potrese v Srbiji: Študija izbranih občin IZVLEČEK: V članku so predstavljeni rezultati kvalitativne študije pripravljenosti na potres v gospodinjstvih in na občinski ravni v Srbiji in njeni povezanosti različnimi demografskimi dejavniki. Članek temelji na 1018 intervjujih, ki so bili izvedeni na začetku leta 2017 v osmih srbskih občinah. Rezultati kažejo, da je prebivalstvo na splošno nepripravljeno, z nizkim deležem izboljšane ravni pripravljenosti. Poleg lastnih ugotovitev študija obravnava tudi prihodnje smeri raziskovanja, vključno z uporabo te študije kot temelja za podrobnejše raziskave in za pomoč pri programih, ki jih vodijo skupnosti, ter strategij za povečanje potresne varnosti. KLJUČNE BESEDE: geografija, naravne nesreče, potres, pripravljenost, gospodinjstvo, raziskovanje, Srbija Vladimir M. Cvetković, Marina Filipović, Jasmina Gačić, Vladimir Jakovljević University of Belgrade, Faculty of Security Studies vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs, fmarina@fb.bg.ac.rs, jgacic@sezampro.rs, vjakov@fb.bg.ac.rs Kevin Ronan Central Queensland University, Clinical Psychology School of Human, Health and Social Sciences k.ronan@cqu.edu.au Rajib Shaw Keio University, Graduate […]

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Geoprostorna i vremenska distribucija šumskih požara kao prirodnih katastrofa [Geospatial and temporal distribution of forest fires as natural disasters]

Cvetković, V., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2016). Geoprostorna i vremenska distribucija šumskih požara kao prirodnih katastrofa [Geospatial and temporal distribution of forest fires as natural disasters]. Vojno delo, 68(2), 108–127. DOI: 10.5937/vojdelo1602108C   ГЕОПРОСТОРНА И ВРЕМЕНСКА ДИСТРИБУЦИЈА ШУМСКИХ ПОЖАРА КАО ПРИРОДНИХ КАТАСТРОФА   Владимир M. Цветковић, Криминалистичко-полицијска академија, Београд Јасмина Гачић и Владимир Јаковљевић Универзитет у Београду, Факултет безбедности Шумски пожари представљају једну од најзначајнијих опасности савремене цивилизације чије проучавање захтева сложен, свеобухватан и мултидисциплинаран приступ. Последице шумских п- ожара често су разорне по живот, здравље и имовину људи, али и по безбедност државе и читаве међуародне заједнице. У том смислу, р- ади ефикасније заштите и спречавања озбиљног поремећаја функци- онисања друштва, односно великих људских, материјалних и екол- ошких губитака који превазилазе способност погођеног друштва да се избори са ситуацијом, односно стањем природне катастрофе, потре- бно је свеобухватно истражити наведени природни феномен. У овом чланку тумаче се и објашњавају форма, последице, временски и ге- опросторни распоред испољавања шумских пожара. Користећи међ- ународну базу података о природним катастрофама Центра за истр- аживање епидемиологије катастрофа (CRED) са седиштем у Бриселу, уз подршку програма за статистичку анализу (SPSS) и метода тема- тске картографије, покушали смо да укажемо на број, трендове, посл- едице, временску и геопросторну дистрибуцију шумских пожара у пер- иоду од 1900. до 2013. године, као и на потребу адекватног одговора друштва на ту врсту природне катастрофе.   Кључне речи: безбедност, ванредне ситуације, природне ката- строфе, шумски пожари, статистичка анализа Увод Природне катастрофе представљају неодређени термин, који често изазива озбиљне научне полемике и дискусије. Његово често мешање са терминима као што су природне опасности, природни ванредни догађаји, природне ванредне ситуације и кризе само су једна димензија таквих спорења (Mlađan i Cvetković 2013, 105) Једна од најпризнатијих и свеобухватних дефиниција природних катастрофа јесте Фрицова дефиниција која указује на четири кључна својства. Према њој, при- родне катастрофе су: ,,а) догађаји […]

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Floods in the Republic of Serbia – vulnerability and human security

Gačić, J., Jakovljević, V., & Cvetković, V. (2015). Floods in the Republic of Serbia – vulnerability and human security. Twenty Years of Human Security: Theoretical Foundations and Practical Applications (pp. 277–286). Beograd: Faculty of Security Studies. UDC 627.14(497.11) Jasmina GAČIĆ, Vladimir JAKOVLJEVIĆ, Vladimir CVETKOVIĆ*   FLOODS IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA – VULNERABILITY AND HUMAN SECURITY Abstract: Vulnerability and human security have been changing over time and depended on the physical, social, economic and environmental factors. In modern terms these phenomena have become multi-dimensional, multi-disciplinary, multi-sectoral and dynamic. However, in addition to empirical changes with respect to the nature of security threats, the increase of vulnerability and threatening to human security, there have increased the analytical range in their understand- ing as well as the institutional changes within the security structures. Many countries have aban- doned the attitude that the floods and flash floods as the most important natural hazards can be suppressed or controlled, i.e. that can be fought against or placed under full control. With that regard, the attitude of adoptive management of security and rescue from floods and flash floods be- comes more and more prevalent, as well as flood risk adjustment or the principle of “living with floods”. Accepting such attitude, relating cultural values of the society, economy, institutional and functional possibilities for the purpose of mitigating vulnerability and providing human security proved prominent in the Republic of Serbia. The state has taken a series of reform steps in view of recognizing its own physical exposure to food risks. At the same time, after such great floods which endangered a large part of the country’s territory, the country recognized its social-eco- nomic weaknesses of the community, as well as the necessity to increase the capacity to mobilize the resources in mitigating vulnerability and facilitating human security. Key words: community, […]

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Činioci uticaja na svest građana o rizicima nastanka vanrednih situacija u Srbiji [Factors influencing public awareness of the risk of emergencies in Serbia]

Cvetković, V., & Jakovljević, V. (2017). Činioci uticaja na svest građana o rizicima nastanka vanrednih situacija u Srbiji [Factors influencing public awareness of the risk of emergencies in Serbia]. Peto naučno savetovanje „Upravljanje rizicima“ (pp. 11–20). Požarevac: VTŠSS. Доц. др Владимир М. ЦВЕТКОВИЋ1 Проф. др Владимир ЈАКОВЉЕВИЋ2 (1, 2) Универзитет у Београду, Факултет Безбедности, Београд ЧИНИОЦИ УТИЦАЈА НА СВЕСТ ГРАЂАНА О РИЗИЦИМА НАСТАНКА ВАНРЕДНИХ СИТУАЦИЈА У СРБИЈИ РЕЗИМЕ Свакодневно, људи се сусрећу са разноврсним безбедносним ризицима који могу угрозити њихов живот и здравље. Свест грађана о локалним ризицима настанка ванредних ситуација јесте предуслов унапређења њихове припремљености значајне за ублажавање последица. Управо зато, спроведено је квантитативно истраживање са циљем научне експликације чиниоца утицаја на свест грађана о ризицима настанка ванредних ситуација у Србији. Коришћењем вишеетапног узорковања, анкетирано је две и по хиљаде грађана са подручја деветнаест локалних заједница. Резултати истраживања показују да је само половина испитаника свесна ризика настанка ванредних ситуација у локалној заједници. Поред тога, утврђено је да на свест грађана о ризицима утичу пол, године старости, образовање, успех у основној школи, образовање мајке, образовање оца, брачни статус, родитељство, брига о инвалидитету, запосленост, приходи домаћинства, претходно искуство и волонтерство. Научни и друштвени значај истраживања произилази из неиспитаног нивоа свести грађана о ризицима настанка ванредних ситуација и чиниоцима који директно или индиректно утичу на њен ниво. Резултати истраживања могу бити искоришћени за конципирање стратегија и програма усмерених ка подизању свести грађана о локалним безбедносним ризицима. Кључне речи: ванредне ситуације, ризици, чиниоци, грађани, Србија. УВОД Ванредне ситуације различитог порекла, скоро па сваког дана, изазивају озбиљне поремећаје у функционисању друштвених јединица широм света (Cvetković & Dragicević, 2014; Cvetković, Gačić, & Jakovljević, 2015; Ivanov & Cvetković, 2016). Суочени са озбиљним последицама ванредних ситуација, људи почињу проактивно деловати и управљати ризицима од ванредних ситуација (Јаковљевић, Цветковић, & Гачић, 2015; Цветковић, 2016). Свакако, концепт ризика одувек је био тема […]

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A survey of subjective opinions of population about seismic resistance of residential buildings

Cvetković, V., Filipović, M., & Jakovljević, V. (2017). A survey of subjective opinions of population about seismic resistance of residential buildings. Geogr. Inst. Cvijic, 67(3), 265–278. www.gi.sanu.ac.rs, www.doiserbia.nb.rs, J. Geogr. Inst. Cvijic. 67(3) (265–278) Original scientific paper UDC: 911.2/911.3(497.11) DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1703265C A SURVEY OF SUBJECTIVE OPINIONS OF POPULATION ABOUT SEISMIC RESISTANCE OF RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS Vladimir M. Cvetković*1, Marina Filipović*, Vladimir Jakovljević* * University of Belgrade, Faculty of Security Studies, Belgrade, Serbia Received: June 30, 2017; Reviewed: November 24, 2017; Accepted: November 30, 2017 Abstract: The unpredictability and the seriousness of the potential earthquake consequences for people and residential buildings in Serbia imply the need for improving the resilience of local communities. The paper presents the results of a quantitative research regarding the level and factors of influence on the awareness of citizens about the seismic resistance of their residential buildings to earthquake consequences. Multiple-point random sampling was used to survey 1,018 citizens (face to face) during 2017 in 8 local communities: Kraljevo, Lazarevac, Jagodina, Mionica, Prijepolje, Vranje, Lapovo and Kopaonik. The questionnaire consisted of two segments: questions on demographic, socio-economic and psychological characteristics of respondents and questions regarding resistance of residential buildings to earthquake consequences. The results show that 35% of respondents state that they live in residential buildings that are not resistant to earthquakes, while 70.7% state that they live in buildings built of reinforced concrete, which are considered safe. Beside that 9.2% of respondents examined the resistance of their facilities to earthquake consequences. Inferential statistical analyses show that men to a greater extent than women state that their buildings are resistant to earthquake consequences. Starting from the multidimensionality of citizen vulnerability to earthquakes, it is necessary to conduct additional studies and further elucidate the sociological dimension of vulnerability and resilience. Keywords: earthquake, survey, resistance, attitudes, buildings Introduction Earthquakes that represent a […]

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Prof. Dr. Vladimir M. Cvetković – Disaster Risk Management

The Impact of Climate Change on the Protection and Conservation of Biodiversity as a Precondition for Environmental Security in Serbia

Filipović, M., Cvetković, V., & Jakovljević, V. (2017). The impact of climate change on protection and conservation of biodiversity as a precondition of environmental security in Serbia. First International Conference Environmental Safety and Health at Work, Proceedings, Zrenjanin, November 16, 2017. THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PROTECTION AND CONSERVATION OF BIODIVERSITY AS A PRECONDITION OF ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY IN SERBIA Marina Filipović Vladimir  M. Cvetković, PhD Vladimir Jakovljević Faculty of Security, University of Belgrade, Gospodara Vučića 50, 11040 Beograd  Abstract: The influence of climate change on biodiversity as a precondition of environmental security is the subject of an increasing number of scientific and expert analyzes around the world. Due to the lack of information on the related effects of climate change and immediate empirical evidences, there may be neglect of the application of adequate measures to mitigate the potentially adverse impact of climate on the maintenance, growth, reproduction and distribution of certain species which can affect the creation of unwanted implication regarding to environemental security. Bearing in mind the significant number of endemic plant and animal species in the territory of the Republic of Serbia, its unique responsibility with regard to the preservation of biodiversity can not be denied. The paper performed a secondary analysis of the key documents and reports that Serbia, as a member state of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol, and the signatory country to the Paris Agreement, is obliged to continuously submit to the UNFCCC Secretariat. According to the First National Communication of the Republic of Serbia, the effects of climate change on biodiversity and natural ecosystems are observed that indicate phenological changes, changes in morphology, physiology and species behavior, habitat loss, as well as the emergence of new habitats, changes in the number and distribution of species […]

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Prof. Dr. Vladimir M. Cvetković – Disaster Risk Management

Household supplies for natural disasters: factors of influence on the possession of supplies

Cvetković, V., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2017). Household supplies for a natural disaster: factor of influence on the possession of supplies. The 8th International Scientific Conference, Security concepts and policies – new generation of risks and threats, at Ohrid, Republic of Macedonia 4 – 5 June 2017. Vladimir M. Cvetković, Ph.D., vladimirkpa@gmail.com Jasmina Gačić, Ph.D., jgacic@sezampro.rs Vladimir Jakovljević, Ph.D., vjakov@fb.bg.ac.rs University of Belgrade, Faculty of Security Studies, Gospodara Vucica 50, 11040 Belgrade   Purpose – The paper presents the results of the quantitative research of the impact of certain factors on household possession of supplies necessary for the survival of the consequences of natural disasters. Design/methodology/approach – Quantitative research was conducted by using a survey strategy in households with the use of a multi-stage random sample. The first step, which was related to the primary sampling units included selection of parts of the community for conducting research. The second step, which was related to research cores, included selection of streets or parts of streets at the level of primary sampling units and finally selection of households for surveying 2500 citizens in 19 local communities. Findings – It was found that only 24.6% of respondents have supplies, while 61.5% have no supplies for surviving natural disasters. On the other hand, 37.2% of respondents possess supplies of food for 4 days, while only 12% have supplies of food for 1 day. It was found that 17.6% of the respondents have a transistor radio, 40% flashlight, 40.6% shovel, 25.8% hack, 33.6% hoe and spade, and 13.2% Fire extinguisher. The results of inferential statistical analyses show that there is a statistically significant influence of gender, education, marital status, parenthood, employment, income level, level of religiosity, completed military service on having supplies to survive the consequences of natural disasters. On the other hand, there […]

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