Tag: K.

Gender disparities in flood risk perception and preparedness: A Serbian case study

Cvetković, V., Roder, G., Tarolli, P., Öcal, A., Ronan, K., & Dragićević, S. (2017). Gender disparities in flood risk perception and preparedness: A Serbian case study. European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2017, Vienna, Austria. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 19, EGU2017-6720.   Gender disparities in flood risk perception and preparedness: a Serbian case study Vladimir M. Cvetkovic´ (1), Giulia Roder (2), Paolo Tarolli (2), Adem Öcal (3), Kevin Ronan (4), and Slavoljub Dragic´evic´ (5) (1) The Academy of Criminalistics and Police studies, Cara Dušana 196, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia (vladimir.cvetkovic@kpa.edu.rs), (2) University of Padova, Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, Legnaro (PD), Italy, (3) Faculty of Gazi Education, Gazi University, Ankara, 06500, Turkey, (4) Clinical Psychology School of Human, Health and Social Sciences, CQ University, Rockhampton, Australia, (5) Faculty of Geography, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/III, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia The catastrophic flood occurred in Serbia in 2014 was one of the most critical events registered in the Balkan area in the last decades. The procedures for evacuation have been tough to manage indicating a low level of perception and preparedness towards flood events. Also, the failure in the response phase showed a gender unbalance, where information did not reach men and women equally. Urgently, the Council for Gender Equality Government of the Republic of Serbia held an extraordinary meeting dedicated to the flood planning and emergency support in a gendered perspective. It concluded with the necessity of developing more gender-sensitive statistics, indicators of vulnerability, reconstruction and recovery to floods. For these reasons, we conducted an extensive interview to underlined the differences in risk perception and preparedness actions of both women and men regarding flood events in Serbia. 2500 face-to-face interviews have been conducted in 27 out of 150 municipalities being a good representative sample of the country with the use of […]

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The NATO expansion in Europe – an alliance of liberal states

Ivanov, A., Babanoski, K., & Cvetković, V. (2023). The NATO expansion in Europe – an alliance of liberal states. 14th International Scientific Conference, the strategic and security concept for the countries of South-East Europe: Republic of North Macedonia. THE NATO EXPANSION IN EUROPE – ALLIANCE OF LIBERAL STATES Aleksandar Ivanov Faculty of Security – Skopje aleksandar.ivanov@uklo.edu.mk Kire Babanoski kbabanoski@gmail.com Vladimir M. Cvetković Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia vladimirkpa@gmail.com Abstract Alliances are common in the world history. In the framework of international relations, several theoretical explanations were applied to answer the questions of why and how states enter into alliances. The traditional approach explains the concept of alliance through the assumptions of the theory of balance of power. Game theory is also a theoretical approach to analyze the behavior of states used in academic and strategic analysis. In this paper, the basic assumption about the behavior of the states of the collective West is the theory of balance of threat. In the geographical sense, the subject of analysis is Eastern and South-Eastern Europe as a response to the behavior of the states. When faced with a significant external threat, states can balance or join. Balancing is defined as an alliance with other states against a current threat; the association is brought to the association with the source of danger. This theory is presented through an analysis of state decisions on critical issues in the international security depending on whether states balance or join by Stephen Walt, systematically exposed in the capital work The Origin of Alliances. (Волт, 2009) In this paper, the subject of analysis is the expansion of the NATO pact after the end of the Cold War, trying to give answers to the question of why the countries of Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe “joined” this military alliance after the fall […]

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Household earthquake preparedness in Serbia: A study of selected municipalities

Cvetković, V. M., Ronan, K., Shaw, R., Filipović, M., Mano, R., Gačić, J., & Jakovljević, V. (2019). Household earthquake preparedness in Serbia: A study of selected municipalities. Acta Geographica, 59(2), 28–42. DOI: https: /doi.org/10.3986/AGS.5445 UDC: 614.8:550.34(497.11) COBISS: 1.01 Household earthquake preparedness in Serbia: A study of selected municipalities ABSTRACT: This article presents the results of a qualitative study of household earthquake and community- level preparedness in Serbia and its relationship to various demographic factors. A series of 1,018 face-to-face interviews were conducted at the beginning of 2017 in eight Serbian municipalities. The results show that the population is generally unprepared, with low percentages of reported enhanced preparedness levels. In addition to presenting its findings, the study also considers future research directions, including using this study as a basis for more detailed research and to assist in facilitating community-led programs and strategies to increase earthquake safety. KEY WORDS: geography, natural hazards, earthquake, preparedness, household, survey, Serbia Pripravljenost gospodinjstev na potrese v Srbiji: Študija izbranih občin IZVLEČEK: V članku so predstavljeni rezultati kvalitativne študije pripravljenosti na potres v gospodinjstvih in na občinski ravni v Srbiji in njeni povezanosti različnimi demografskimi dejavniki. Članek temelji na 1018 intervjujih, ki so bili izvedeni na začetku leta 2017 v osmih srbskih občinah. Rezultati kažejo, da je prebivalstvo na splošno nepripravljeno, z nizkim deležem izboljšane ravni pripravljenosti. Poleg lastnih ugotovitev študija obravnava tudi prihodnje smeri raziskovanja, vključno z uporabo te študije kot temelja za podrobnejše raziskave in za pomoč pri programih, ki jih vodijo skupnosti, ter strategij za povečanje potresne varnosti. KLJUČNE BESEDE: geografija, naravne nesreče, potres, pripravljenost, gospodinjstvo, raziskovanje, Srbija Vladimir M. Cvetković, Marina Filipović, Jasmina Gačić, Vladimir Jakovljević University of Belgrade, Faculty of Security Studies vmc@fb.bg.ac.rs, fmarina@fb.bg.ac.rs, jgacic@sezampro.rs, vjakov@fb.bg.ac.rs Kevin Ronan Central Queensland University, Clinical Psychology School of Human, Health and Social Sciences k.ronan@cqu.edu.au Rajib Shaw Keio University, Graduate […]

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Comparative analysis of DRM systems in Germany, USA, Russia and China

Cvetković, V., Andrić, K., & Ivanov, A. (2023). Comparative analysis of DRM systems in Germany, USA, Russia and China. Security Dialogues / Bezbednosni dijalozi, 14(2), 65–88. UDK 005.52:005.334(100) UDK 614.8.084(100) COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DRM SYSTEMS IN GERMANY, USA, RUSSIA AND CHINA Vladimir M. Cvetković18 Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade Katarina Andrić19 International Institute for Disaster Research Aleksandar Ivanov20 Faculty of Security – Skopje, University St. Kliment Ohridski Bitola Abstract: The uniqueness of each system stems from the fact that the risks of disasters are specific and that their presence and manifestation are not universal and the same for every country. Just as no country is the same in all other segments, their disaster risk systems are unequal. The paper describes the systems in four different countries, through observation and comparison of four areas of activity that are implemented in dealing with disasters. First of all, in the paper, the legal basis and institutional frameworks on which these systems rest in each of the countries were considered – starting from the international level and guidelines given at international conferences, to all by-laws and local disaster activity plans. It was considered how each of the states implements risk mitigation activities and how it increases preparedness for them. When the system recognizes risks, their probability and the frequency of their occurrence, activities are planned to prepare the country and every individual in it for a potentially unwanted event. Differences in the ways of mitigating risks and preparing all elements of the system and protected values for disasters are presented. The third element of action in the event of disasters concerns the response. In this segment, questions are raised regarding institutional solutions in the system, division of responsibilities, the priority of response and mobilization of resources at all levels. The last phase, the […]

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Citizens education about floods: A Serbian case study

Cvetković, V., Tarolli, P., Roder, G., Ivanov, A., Ronan, K., Öcal, A., & Kutub, R. (2017). Citizens education about floods: A Serbian case study. 7th International Scientific Conference “Archibald Reiss Days”, Academy of Criminalistics and Police Studies, Belgrade. CITIZENS EDUCATION ABOUT FLOODS: A SERBIAN CASE STUDY Vladimir M. Cvetković, Ph.D Academy of Criminalistic and Police Study in Belgrade vladimirkpa@gmail.com Paolo Tarolli, Ph.D Giulia Roder, Ph.D. candidate Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry. University of Padova, Agripolis, Legnaro, Italy Aleksandar Ivanov, Ph.D Faculty of Security, Skopje Kevin Ronan, Ph.D Clinical Psychology School of Human, Health and Social Sciences, CQ University, Rockhampton, Australia Adem Öcal, Ph.D Faculty of Gazi Education, Gazi University, Ankara, Turkey Md. Juel Rana Kutub Faculty of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh Abstract: The aim of quantitative research is a scientific explication of the effects certain demographic, socio-economic and psychological citizens characteristics on citizens education in Serbia about floods. It is because of that that during the whole 2015 a series of 2,500 face-to-face interviews was conducted in 19 out of the 190 municipalities of the Republic of Serbia. The study population consisted of all adult residents of the local communities in which floods occurred, and the sample size complied with the geographical and demographic size of the community. Results of the descriptive statistical analysis showed 24.9% of respondents were educated about natural disasters at school, 40.2% in the family, 29.9% at work, 39.9% of respondents know where elderly, disabled and infants live, 14% noted that they knew the risks of floods, etc. The research findings indicated that there is a statistically significant correlation between the level of knowledge about natural disasters and sex, age, marital status levels of education, fear of disaster, previous experience and income level. On the other hand, education at school, within the family, […]

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Security risks of climate change: Case study of Belgrade

Cvetković, V., Tomašević, K., & Milašinović, S. (2019). Security risks of climate change: Case study of Belgrade. Sociological Review, 53(2), 596–626. Владимир М. Цветковић1 Универзитет у Београду, Факултет безбедности Катарина С. Томашевић2 УДК 351.759.6:504.4(497.11) 316.64:551.583(497.11)”2019″ Оригинални научни рад Министарство унутрашњих послова Републике Србије Срђан М. Милашиновић3 Криминалистичко-полицијски универзитет у Београду Београд (Србија) Примљен 01/07/2019 Измењен 14/08/2019 Прихваћен 14/08/2019   doi: 10.5937/socpreg53- 22371 БЕЗБЕДНОСНИ РИЗИЦИ КЛИМАТСКИХ ПРОМЕНА: СТУДИЈА СЛУЧАЈА БЕОГРАДА Сажетак: Полазећи од негативних утицаја климатских промена, циљ кван- титативног истраживања представља испитивање модела за предикцију утицаја демографских и социо-културних фактора на ставове грађана о безбедносним ри- зицима климатских промена. Коришћењем методе случајног узорка, у току 2019. године, спроведено је анкетирање грађана на централном градском тргу у Београду и обухваћено је 438 испитаника. Резултати истраживања показују да је конципира- ни предикциони модел статистички значајан, као и да на ставове испитаника утичу различити предиктори од којих су најзначајнији ниво образовања, године старости и пол испитаника. Полазећи од добијених резултата истраживања, потребно је ос- мислити и имплементирати едукативне програме унапређивања свести грађана о негативним импликацијама климатских промена. Кључне речи: безбедност, ризици, климатске промене, истраживање. Увод Климатске промене до којих је довело глобално загревање проузрокова- но људским активностима, представљају једну од актуелнијих тема у студијама безбедности (Barnett, 2003; Detraz, 2011; Jasparro & Taylor, 2008; Scheffran, 2011; Vuković, 2008). Не залазећи у разноврсне дебате у погледу постојања научних до- каза о њиховом постојању (Burroughs, 2005; Poortinga, Spence, Whitmarsh, Capstick, & Pidgeon, 2011), несумњиво је да се на међународном нивоу очекују драматичне, учесталије и озбиљније последице по људе и њихову имовину. Такође, у великом броју научних радова истраживани су и утицаји климатских промена на повећање ризика од настака катастрофа проузрокованих манифестовањем различитих при- родних и антропогених опасности (Parvin, Shimi, Shaw, & Biswas, 2016; Raleigh, Jordan, & Salehyan, 2008). Све то јасно указује на чињеницу да су климатске […]

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Prof. Dr. Vladimir M. Cvetković – Disaster Risk Management

Gender disparities in flood risk perception and preparedness: a Serbian case study

Cvetković, V., Roder, G., Tarolli, P., Öcal, A., Ronan, K., & Dragićević, S. (2017). Gender disparities in flood risk perception and preparedness: a Serbian case study. Paper presented at the European Geosciences Union GmbH – EGU General Assembly 2017, At Vienna, Austria, Volume: Vol. 19, EGU2017-6720: Session HS1.9/NH1.18 Hydrological risk under a gender and age perspective, Vienna. Gender disparities in flood risk perception and preparedness: a Serbian case study Vladimir. M. Cvetković*1, Giulia Roder2, Paolo Tarolli2, Adem Öcal3, Kevin Ronan4, Slavoljub Dragićević5  1 The Academy of Criminalistics and Police studies, Cara Dušana 196, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia 2 Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Agripolis, viale dell’Università 16, 35020 Legnaro, Italy 3 Faculty of Gazi Education, Gazi University, Ankara, 06500, Turkey 4 Clinical Psychology School of Human, Health and Social Sciences, CQ University, Rockhampton, Australia 5 Faculty of Geography, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/III, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia   HS1.9/NH1.18 Hydrological risk under a gender and age perspective (co-organized) Abstract The catastrophic flood occurred in Serbia in 2014 was one of the most critical events registered in the Balkan area in the last decades. The procedures for evacuation have been tough to manage indicating a low level of perception and preparedness towards flood events. Also, the failure in the response phase showed a gender unbalance, where information did not reach men and women equally. Urgently, the Council for Gender Equality Government of the Republic of Serbia held an extraordinary meeting dedicated to the flood planning and emergency support in a gendered perspective. It concluded with the necessity of developing more gender-sensitive statistics, indicators of vulnerability, reconstruction and recovery to floods. For these reasons, we conducted an extensive interview to underlined the differences in risk perception and preparedness actions of both women and men in the wake of […]

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Prof. Dr. Vladimir M. Cvetković – Disaster Risk Management

Citizens’ Education About Floods: A Serbian Case Study

Cvetkovic, V., Tarolli, P., Roder, G., Ivanov, A., Ronan, K., Ocam, A., & Kutub, R. (2017). Citizens education about floods: a Serbian case study. VII International scientific conference ” Archibald Reiss days “, Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies, Belgrade. Vladimir M. Cvetković, Ph.D. Academy of Criminalistic and Police Study in Belgrade, vladimirkpa@gmail.com Paolo Tarolli, Ph.D. Giulia Roder, Ph.D. candidate Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry. University of Padova, Agripolis, viale dell’Università 16, 35020 Legnaro, Italy Aleksandar Ivanov, Ph.D. Faculty of Security, Skopje Kevin Ronan, Ph.D. Clinical Psychology School of Human, Health and Social Sciences, CQ University, Rockhampton, Australia Adem Öcal, Ph.D. Faculty of Gazi Education, Gazi University, Ankara, 06500, Turkey Md. Juel Rana Kutub Faculty of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh   Abstract: The aim of quantitative research is a scientific explication of the effects certain demographic, socio-economic and psychological citizens characteristics on citizens education in Serbia about floods. Precisely because during the whole 2015 in 19 of the 190 municipalities of the Republic of Serbia has been conducted a series of 2,500 face-to-face interviews. The study population consisted of all adult residents of the local communities in which floods occurred, and the sample size complied with the geographical and demographic size of the community. Results of the descriptive statistical analysis showed 24.9% of respondents were educated about natural disasters at school, 40.2% in the family, 29.9% at work, 39.9% of respondents know where elderly, disabled and infants live, 14% noted that they knew the risks of floods, etc. The research findings indicated that there is a statistically significant correlation between the level of knowledge about natural disasters and sex, age, marital status levels of education, fear of disaster, previous experience, income level. On another side, education at school, within the family, at work is […]

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Prof. Dr. Vladimir M. Cvetković – Disaster Risk Management

Comparative Analysis of DRM Systems in Germany, Usa, Russia and China

Cvetković, V. M., Andrić, K., & Ivanov, A. (2023). Comparative Analysis of DRM Systems in Germany, USA, Russia and China. Security Dialogues, 14(2), 65-88. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DRM SYSTEMS IN GERMANY, USA, RUSSIA AND CHINA Vladimir M. Cvetković18 Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade Katarina Andrić19 International Institute for Disaster Research Aleksandar Ivanov20 Faculty of Security – Skopje, University St. Kliment Ohridski Bitola Abstract: The uniqueness of each system stems from the fact that the risks of disasters are specific and that their presence and manifestation are not universal and the same for every country. Just as no country is the same in all other segments, their disaster risk systems are unequal. The paper describes the systems in four different countries, through observation and comparison of four areas of activity that are implemented in dealing with disasters. First of all, in the paper, the legal basis and institutional frameworks on which these systems rest in each of the countries were considered – starting from the international level and guidelines given at international conferences, to all by-laws and local disaster activity plans. It was considered how each of the states implements risk mitigation activities and how it increases preparedness for them. When the system recognizes risks, their probability and the frequency of their occurrence, activities are planned to prepare the country and every individual in it for a potentially unwanted event. Differences in the ways of mitigating risks and preparing all elements of the system and protected values for disasters are presented. The third element of action in the event of disasters concerns the response. In this segment, questions are raised regarding institutional solutions in the system, division of responsibilities, the priority of response and mobilization of resources at all levels. The last phase, the one that occurs after the disaster, and that […]

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